Free Guest Analysis: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Stocks & Forex

Below you will find guest articles on investing and trading. Please note that the opinions included below don't represent the opinions of our company or any of its employees - they are only opinions of the respective authors. If you'd like to check out our premium analyses, please take a few seconds to sign up for our free 7-day trial today.

• Forex Trading Alert: 5 Currency Pairs, 5 Different Bearings

  December 31, 2013, 12:09 PM

  The current situation in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CHF hasn’t changed much as all three currency pairs remain in a consolidation range. Meanwhile, USD/CAD and USD/JPY move in opposite directions. The first currency pair reached an important support line, which will likely encourage market participants to act, while the latter almost erased earlier losses. What’s next? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.

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• Did Negative Correlation Between Crude Oil and Oil Stocks Reverse?

  December 31, 2013, 11:21 AM

  In our previous essay, we checked the situation in the oil stock index. Since that time, the XOI has increased and reached the psychological barrier of 1,500. At the same time, crude oil extended its rally and broke not only above the 38.2% retracement, but also above the psychologically important level of $100. Does this mean that the strong negative correlation has reversed as we have seen similar price action? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

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• Lessons for the future

  December 31, 2013, 10:40 AM

  In the last Market Overviews we have discussed in detail differences between tapering and tightening. As we have stated a personal change of the Fed’s chairman will not change the essence of its policy. Now we heard that some form of tapering will happen.

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• Bitcoin Trading Alert: Bitcoin Market Still Relatively Calm

  December 31, 2013, 10:37 AM

  The bitcoin market has been relatively calm recently. The price has been moving up in a general trend since Dec. 22, 2013, but the volatility has been visibly lower than before. Does this hint at any bigger moves just around the corner? We comment on this and on the recent posts calling bitcoin "evil."

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• Forex Trading Alert: General Overview

  December 30, 2013, 11:02 AM

  At the beginning of the previous week, it seemed that the currency market would not surprise us as trading volumes were expected to remain thin due to the Christmas holiday. Meanwhile, it turned out that the end of the week was quite interesting as increased volatility helped exaggerate market moves. On Friday, EUR/USD moved above the previous 2013 high, while USD/CHF declined to a fresh annual low - are these moves meaningful? Before we know the answers to these questions, we invite you to check out our Forex Trading Alert and find out what the current outlook for the currency market is. Have a nice read.

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• Gold's Rally and Dollar’s Decline or Vice Versa?

  December 30, 2013, 9:17 AM

  In  our Dec 20 commentary we discussed the outlook for the USD Index, Euro Index, and how these currencies are likely to impact gold. We summarized the essay by writing that the situation was bullish for the USD Index, and bearish for the euro. We wrote that the implications for gold were bearish. That was 10 days ago and we haven’t seen any big price swings in any of them (except for the intra-day decline on the USD Index, but we will move to that in just a few paragraphs). Has anything changed? Was there some kind of confirmation or invalidation that would increase the bullishness of the situation for gold or perhaps it’s even worse than it was before (despite a small move higher)? Let’s take a look.

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• Bitcoin Trading Alert: RBI Warns of Bitcoin Risks

  December 30, 2013, 8:43 AM

  On Dec. 24, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) issued a statement in which it warned of the risks of holding and using bitcoin. The argument is nothing new, but the comment has caused some stirr among bitcoin enthusiasts in India. It didn't seem to have any visible influence on the price of the currency on world markets, though. So, if bitcoin didn't react to the news, where is it headed now?

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• Tapering vs. Tightening issue continued

  December 23, 2013, 10:06 AM

  Tapering and tightening are rightly interpreted as backing out from two distinct expansionary tools.

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• Will Precious Metals Drop Any Further?

  December 20, 2013, 12:07 PM

  Earlier this month, we examined gold and silver mining stocks to find out what kind of impact they could have on precious metals’ future moves. To make sure that our assumptions were correct we decided to check a chart featuring gold’s price from the non-USD perspective and also from the European perspective. A week ago, we introduced you to 3 signs of gold’s upcoming decline. Since that essay was posted we have seen significant deterioration in the precious metal sector. What’s next? Will the recent declines continue or maybe the worst is already behind us? Will the market players be more likely to buy precious metals at these levels? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

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• What Can Happen with Gold If the Dollar and the Euro Collapse?

  December 18, 2013, 10:34 AM

  The dollar's "imminent" collapse has been discussed for years now. How can you stay protected in case the unlikely does in fact materialize? What about the euro?

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• Further Declines or Rally in Oil Stocks?

  December 17, 2013, 12:48 PM

  In our previous commentary, we checked the impact of the recent decline in the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio on the oil stock index. Since that time, the XOI has declined once again and reached important support lines. Because of that, we’ve decided to check whether this weakness changes anything in the overall outlook or not. We invite you to check our today’s essay. Have a nice read.

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• Bernanke seeing the difference between tapering and tightening

  December 16, 2013, 10:50 AM

  Bernanke gave a speech, which could be seen as a sort of testimony or farewell (probably one of many coming soon). The message he has sent was in perfect compliance of what has been communicated for some time to the public.

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• Can Gold Make Sense If the Dollar and the Euro Do Not Collapse?

  December 13, 2013, 12:00 PM

  In one of our previous essays we considered what implications for gold the collapse of the dollar or the euro would have. Today, we discuss a different scenario: one in which the currencies hold up in spite of the enormous debt burden. Are the perspectives rosy for precious metals even if the greenback and euro don't deteriorate completely? We give you some reasons why investing in gold may be a good idea even if serious changes in the global currency system are not just round the corner.

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• 3 Signs of Gold's Upcoming Decline

  December 13, 2013, 6:35 AM

  This week was full of action for precious metals investors and traders. Gold, mining stocks, and (especially) silver rallied in the first days of the week only to disappoint on Wednesday and Thursday. No wonder; the rally didn’t have “strong legs” as gold’s strength was meager compared to that seen in the euro - another USD alternative.

  In today’s essay we will provide you with 3 gold-related charts; each will tell a different story about gold’s performance, but ultimately, they will all point in the same direction.

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• Oil Stocks - Change of Trend or Just a Correction?

  December 12, 2013, 10:00 AM

  In our last essay on oil stocks, we checked the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio to find out what impact it could have on future oil stocks’ moves. Back then, we emphasized the strong positive correlation between the ratio and the oil stock index in recent months. Taking into account the fact that we have seen a downward move, which took the ratio below the lower line of the gap between the April 2009 low and May 2009 high, we've decided to find out what impact this event had on the oil stock index. We invite you to check our today’s essay. Have a nice read.

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