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  • Dollar’s and Mining Stocks’ Implications for Gold

    August 28, 2013, 12:20 PM

    In the recent three weeks we saw a rally in gold which pushed prices up to the highest level since May 14. So far, in August gold has achieved its biggest monthly climb since January 2012. Does this growth change the outlook for the yellow metal? What’s next? Can gold climb higher in the near term? Is it possible that the dollar and mining stocks will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Stock Market: Indexes fall on Syria fears

    August 28, 2013, 7:17 AM

    Stocks fall as tensions over Syria rise. S&P500 extends its August downtrend, drifting further away from all-time highs.

  • Oil Update: Oil, Oil Stocks, and Oil-Gold Link

    August 27, 2013, 7:00 AM

    In July the geopolitical risks in the Middle East, the underlying strength in the U.S. economic data and the speculation about shrinking U.S. crude stockpiles have resulted in a rally. It took the price of light crude not only above the psychological barrier of $100, but also resulted in a new local top at $108.93 per barrel.

    Since then, the situation hasn’t changed much and crude oil is still trading in a narrow range between the June top and the August bottom. It seems that investors are reluctant to make a major move until the Federal Reserve clearly signals its intentions.

    On the one hand, last week’s positive global economic data improved the outlook for oil consumption and resulted in an increase above $106 per barrel on an intraday basis on Friday. On the other hand, the same data raised fears that the Federal Reserve may start tapering its commodities-supportive stimulus measures as early as September.

    What’s next? Can oil climb above $110 in the near term? Will it result in higher levels of the oil index? Or maybe the oil bears will return and trigger a deeper correction? If crude oil moves lower, will it trigger lower prices in oil stocks? Or maybe these relationships do not look as they seem at the first sight? Could they have any implications for gold?

    Today, we take a look at the charts from different vantage points. If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's Oil Update.

  • Stock Market: Indexes retreat as market sentiment takes a turn for the worse

    August 27, 2013, 6:58 AM

    Stocks fall amid Syria fears, economic data. Investors take profits after recent move up

  • Physical Gold and the Financial Market

    August 26, 2013, 10:52 AM

    There has been a lot of talk about the divergence between the gold physical markets and the financial markets. There are those who spout conspiracy theories how financial institutions (including central banks) are manipulating the gold market (and as someone observed that should not come as a surprise since central banks manipulate bond markets and interest rates every day). How much these statements are true is a separate issue, yet there is in fact some level of discrepancy between the financial market and the real market (which overall in the longer run disappears). This discrepancy can help us separate short run speculations from long run movements.

  • Stock Market: Indexes continue to rebound from their recent lows

    August 26, 2013, 7:02 AM

    Trend reversal or just a pullback? S&P500 still below the August 15 daily gap as investors fear Fed tapering

  • Is the Stock Market Ready for Further Growth? What Impact Could It Have on Silver?

    August 23, 2013, 10:00 AM

    Without a doubt, the Fed’s debate over when to cut its monthly asset purchase program has roiled all financial markets. The minutes of the Fed's July meeting, released on Wednesday, suggest that Fed officials are “still in line for September tapering”. What impact did this have on the general stock market? Is the final top behind us or maybe we will see new historical highs? What impact could such circumstances have on future precious metals moves? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Stock Market: Possible short-term downtrend reversal

    August 23, 2013, 8:13 AM

    Investors await Jackson Hole Fed Conference speeches as the indexes rebound from recent losses. Will this uptrend hold?

  • Stock Market: Increased market volatility as investors digest Fed minutes data

    August 22, 2013, 6:45 AM

    Indexes extend recent correction, still with no clear short-term trend reversal signal. Investors await further economic data announcements, fearing end of Fed stimulus.

  • Looking for Clues Before the Fed Minutes

    August 21, 2013, 12:18 PM

    Without a doubt, the most important event this week will be the release of Fed’s minutes today. Investors will look closely at the minutes for clues as to when and by how much the central bank will cut its monthly asset purchase program in response to stronger economic growth. Will Fed surprise the markets once again? What’s next? Will the precious metals market be very sensitive to what happens after that event? Will the minutes trigger a further rally or a decline? Before we'll know the answers to these questions, we invite you to read today's essay.

  • Stock Market: Short-term uncertainty as investors await further economic data announcements

    August 21, 2013, 7:18 AM

    Indexes fluctuate after last week’s drop. Will the June-August uptrend’s correction deepen?

  • Stock Market: Correction goes deeper as investors fear stimulus cuts

    August 20, 2013, 8:30 AM

    Market sentiment still negative as global stock exchanges take a hit. Will the correction stop at the June-August uptrend’s 50% retracement?

  • Gold Price in India: Gold's Relationship with the Indian Rupee

    August 19, 2013, 1:29 PM

    Last week, the government raised the import tariff value of gold once again as prices of the precious metals had risen in the global market. It seems that the combination of this decision and the busy marriage and festival season fuelled a rally in gold which resulted in a new four-month high. At the same time, the rupee plunged against American currency to an all-time low of 61.65. Will this relationship last longer? Or maybe it will wane? What impact could such action have on future gold prices? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Stock Market: Change of trend or just a correction?

    August 19, 2013, 7:22 AM

    Indexes continue to sell off as investors fear the Fed tightening. How far will the correction extend?

  • Stock Market: Gap down signals change in market sentiment

    August 16, 2013, 6:40 AM

    Sudden drop in stocks driven by renewed fear of Fed tapering, and by corporate reports. Indexes entered short-term downtrend.

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