Stock Trading Alert originally sent to subscribers on October 8, 2014, 6:02 AM.
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,985 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday
(next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
The U.S. stock market indexes lost between 1.4% and 1.6% on Tuesday, retracing last week’s rebound, as investors sold stocks ahead of economic data announcements, quarterly corporate earnings releases, among others. Our yesterday’s intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index bounced off the resistance level at around 1,980-1,985, as it broke below the level of 1.950. The nearest important level of support is at 1,925-1,930, marked by last Thursday’s daily low. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far, as we can see on the daily chart:
Expectations before the opening of today’s session are virtually flat, with index futures currently down 0.1%. The main European stock market indexes have lost 0.6-0.9% so far. Investors will now wait for the FOMC Minutes release at 2:00 p.m., looking for hints regarding potential monetary policy changes. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades close to it local low, as it fluctuates along the level of 1,930. The nearest important resistance level is at around 1,930-1,935, and the level of support is at 1,915-1,920, marked by recent local low, as the 15-minute chart shows:
The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path as it trades closer to last week’s local low, testing support level of 4,930-4,950. On the other hand, the level of resistance is at 3,980-4,000, among others:
Concluding, the broad stock market retraced its recent move up and it may continue short-term downtrend. So, we remain bearish, expecting more downside. We continue to maintain our already profitable speculative short position with entry point at 2,000.5 – S&P 500 index. The stop-loss is at the level of 1,985. Potential profit target remains at 1,900 (S&P 500 index). It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.
Thank you.
Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
