In January, Gold prices were in an upward trend as investors hedged against uncertainty about Trump’s policies. On the other hand, the macroeconomic picture seems to be rather negative for the yellow metal in the medium term. Which driver will prevail?

In this edition of the Market Overview, we will focus on the interplay of different factors on the gold market. Will gold shine as a safe-haven asset thanks to political uncertainty about Trump’s actions, and the downward risks in Europe (such as elections in France and Germany)? Or will we see acceleration in global growth led by the United States and see Fed tightening which will send gold prices south? Are we witnessing the replay of 2016 in the gold market, when the price of the yellow metal soared in the first quarter, or was the January rally only a correction in a bear market?