Yesterday’s session was very interesting (and profitable for our Forex Trading Alerts subscribers), but it was not particularly exciting when it comes to the precious metals market. At least not at the first sight. Gold, silver, and miners have barely moved despite the big daily rally in the USD Index. This appears to be a bullish sign and the one that today’s strength seems to confirm. Will we see another rally in the PMs before the big plunge?

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Gold’s pace of decline has moderated in recent days, leading some to ask the question what we can expect next. Is a local bottom at hand? Be they subtle or not, what clues to look for? We don’t want you to miss anything important. Thorough examination of the outlook follows. That’s the basis for undertaking any right investment decisions. Without fanfare and ado, let’s dive in.

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When the general stock market declined in the previous months, many people called for much higher gold prices, supposedly based on the allure of the safe-haven demand for the yellow metal. And while there is some truth to it as gold would be likely to rally if the US economy got into severe trouble, this simply does not apply to the link between the short-term volatility of the stock market and the gold price. We proved there is no translation of the former into a certain price action of the latter. In the past, the implications of volatility spikes were rather neutral and since the 2011 top they are actually bearish for the gold price. Let’s dive into the details.

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Yesterday’s extensive gold, silver, and mining stock analysis provided insight into the critical background for the moves that we are about to see. But there’s so much more that’s taking place right now! Gold price in yen and gold to silver ratio provide profound signals while the mining stocks seem to be… bottoming. They just reversed after declining in a sharp manner even though gold and silver moved lower. Why would they do it despite all the bearish signs? Are we about to see another wave higher before the big plunge takes place?

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Gold, silver and mining stocks plunged on Friday and the yellow metal closed the week below the $1,300 barrier. The gold-silver ratio soared once again and it all happened in tune with our expectations, and despite the recent dovish comments from the Fed. And – believe it or not – we have something much more important and exciting about the precious metals sector to tell you today.

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