Gold moved substantially higher on Friday and the volume was huge. The session was both significant and bullish, but the question remains if such show of strength can be a start of the next big move. As we promised in Friday’s second alert, we analyzed the situation thoroughly over the weekend and are reporting to you today.

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In addition to discussing the short-term outlook for the precious metals market, today's alert includes our take on the recent outperformance of mining stocks. It seems that their reaction is indeed meaningful, but not in the way that everyone would expect.

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Generally, what we wrote yesterday remains up-to-date. The USD Index remains in the post-rally triangle consolidation pattern and gold is in the post-decline triangle consolidation pattern. In addition to discussing the implications of this pattern, today's alert includes the analysis of one of the little-followed ratios that at this time tells us a lot about the next bigger move in gold.

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In yesterday’s alert we wrote that short positions were still too risky and now it seems that the market agrees. Gold, silver and mining stocks moved higher yesterday. Is it justified to get back on the short side of the market? Based on yesterday’s price action we have one thing that can tell us when this will be the case.

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