The precious metals sector moved sharply lower yesterday – in tune with its medium-term trend. The decline was to a large extent connected with the breakout in the USD Index. It seems that it is the U.S. dollar that will determine the short-term moves in PMs and miners in the coming days and in today’s alert we focus on this relationship. The CCI Index seems to be in a particularly interesting position as well and this is something that gold & silver traders should be aware of.

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While gold, silver and mining stocks moved only slightly higher in the past week and the overall action in the precious metals sector was rather calm, there are sings that this is about to change.

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The decline in the USD Index has been too shallow to make it leave overbought territory. We still might witness a corrective downswing since what we’ve seen so far is not significant enough for the rally to continue. How does this translate into the precious metals market?

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There's not much that we can comment on as far as yesterday's price action is concerned, as there were practically no changes in the precious metals market. Today's pre-market move, however, seems meaningful, especially in light of yesterday's decline in the USD Index.

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The precious metals sector continues to act as we expected it to. It moved slightly higher after declining in tune with its medium-term trend. Is the counter-trend upswing over and will declines follow immediately? Is it high time to get out of the precious metals investments or the time to start backing up the truck with gold bars?

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