Gold futures just soared above $1,500 (and then back below it) most likely due to investors' worries about the trade and currency war with China. As we had expected, the reaction to new trade threats took several days to unfold. Silver finally moved higher as well, but overall - taking the last few days into account - the extent of the move has not been as significant as the one in gold. What's next? Can gold keep the momentum and rally much higher?

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Gold prices spiked yesterday as the Sino-U.S. trade war ratcheted up a notch or two. The USD Index contributed to the shiny metal's allure and the bulls are eyeing new hurdles to overcome. Can the tensions propel it higher still, and if so - how much would that change?

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Gold prices have finished Friday on a strong note, and have been adding to their gains earlier today. It represents a challenge of the late-2013 high. Can we expect more short-term strength - how would such a breakout fit the long-term factors? Let's not forget that these moves are happening against a backdrop of the U.S.-China trade war (of words) escalation. Let's take on the above points, one by one.

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What a week! Gold plunged on Wednesday only to soar back up (and more) on Thursday! Why did it rally? How come? And what did this rally change? In today's Alert, we're going to address these questions.

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The Fed lowered rates and - just as we wrote in yesterday's Alert - gold plunged. The mainstream analysts continue to be baffled by the reaction to a seemingly dovish development, while you knew all along. We explained that it's the expectations that matter and that they were too dovish for what was likely to happen. And what do we have now? We got the first rate cut in years and the USD Index breaking to new highs on their announcement. Ridiculous? Not if you focus on the main trends.

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