Gold erased some of the recent strength on Tuesday by responding to the dollar's move up and it moved back below the April low. Mining stocks also declined back below their April lows.

In terms of British pounds, gold simply moved once again to the long-term rising resistance level and then declined once again. The gold:UDN ratio, or, like we prefer to call it, the non-USD gold price moved once again to its April low and declined further after reaching it.

Generally, no matter how we look at gold or mining stocks, they tried to move back above their April lows but failed to hold this move and declined once again.

Silver didn't decline, but it didn't reach it's April low - so it definitely didn't invalidate the breakdown below it.

The Euro Index moved back below its declining resistance line, which is an invalidation of a small breakout and is by itself a bearish sign for the European currency. This is a bullish sign for the USD Index and a bearish one for the precious metals sector.

All in all, the outlook for precious metals didn't change in our view.

To summarize:

Long-term capital: Half position in gold, silver, platinum and mining stocks. As far as long-term mining stock selection is concerned, we suggest using our tools before making purchases: the Golden StockPicker and the Silver StockPicker

Trading capital: Short positions in gold, and mining stocks.

We are not ruling out the case in which we're going to see a breakout today (which is not likely, even though another small move higher could be seen), and in this case the short position would have to be closed. Consequently, we suggest placing the following stop-loss orders:

• Stop loss for gold's speculative short position: $1,356
• Stop loss for the HUI Index's speculative short position (theoretically, as you can't short the index by itself): 273
• Stop loss for GDX ETF's speculative short position: $29.40

We suggest placing buy orders for the speculative long positions in gold at $1,105 and for silver at $15.20 (and closing the short position at that time - if these levels are reached). The analogous level for the HUI Index is 155. If gold moves to $1,105 but other market don't move to their targets - we suggest closing short positions in gold and mining stocks and going long these sectors anyway (along with silver). If the HUI reach the target but gold doesn't, we suggest closing all above-mentioned short positions, but going long only the market that has reached its target. In this case you will likely hear from us shortly, but you know what our take is even before that happens.

Entry levels and stop losses for the above rather-soon-to-be-opened long positions:

• Gold: $1,105 (stop-loss: $970)
• Silver: $15.20 (stop-loss: $14.20)
• $HUI: 155 (stop-loss: 137)

These levels are slightly above the price targets to maximize the odds of entering the trade (if everyone thinks that gold will move to $1090 they will buy before it reaches this level and ultimately gold may not drop as low at all).

As always, we'll keep you updated should our views on the market change. We will continue to send out Market Alerts on a daily basis (except when Premium Updates are posted) at least until the end of August, 2013 and we will send additional Market Alerts whenever appropriate.

As a reminder, Market Alerts are posted before or on each trading day (we usually post them before the opening bell, but we don't promise doing that each day). If there's anything urgent we will send you an additional small alert before posting the main one.

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As a reminder, we have just launched a new service: the Market Overview monthly reports that focus on the fundamental and economic aspects of precious metals investing. We encourage you to check them out. It's less than $10 and it gets you 2 reports - the one that we just released and the upcoming one. You can sign up here.

Thank you.

Sincerely,
Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA