Trading position (short-term, our opinion; levels for S&P 500 continuous futures contract): No positions are currently justified from the risk/reward point of view.
The S&P 500 index remained below the important 3,900 level on Tuesday, as investors awaited today’s FOMC release. Will that event lead to a correction?
The S&P 500 index lost 0.41% on Tuesday, following its Monday’s loss of 0.8%, as it continued to trade along the 3,900 level. Last week it extended an uptrend from the October 13 new medium-term low of 3,491.58. The market went up to the resistance level of 3,900 and since Friday it has been fluctuating below the 3,900 level. This morning the S&P 500 index is expected to open 0.1% lower on better-than-expected ADP Non-Farm Employment Change release. The market will be waiting for the Fed’s Monetary Policy release at 2:00 p.m. and their Conference at 2:30 p.m. So we’ll likely see an increased volatility later in the day.
The S&P 500 index continues to trade above the upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):
Futures Contract is Below the 3,900 Level Again
Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It’s trading below the 3,900 level this morning. The resistance level is at 3,900-3,950, and the nearest important support level is at around 3,840-3,850. The market remains above a two-week-long upward trend line.
In our opinion, no positions are currently justified from the risk/reward point of view. (chart by courtesy of http://tradingview.com):
Conclusion
This morning stocks will open virtually flat, but later in the day we will likely see an increased volatility and a much bigger trading range. Despite the interest rates uncertainty, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far.
Here’s the breakdown:
- The S&P 500 index continued to trade along the 3,900 level yesterday
- Stock prices will likely react to today’s FOMC release.
- In our opinion, the short-term outlook is neutral.
As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers, well-informed.
Trading position (short-term, our opinion; levels for S&P 500 continuous futures contract): No positions are currently justified from the risk/reward point of view.
Thank you.
Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care
