Trading position (short-term, our opinion; levels for S&P 500 continuous futures contract): short positions with entry at 4,678 price level, with 4,820 as a stop-loss and 4,450 as a price target.

Stock prices were volatile on Tuesday, as the S&P 500 fell to the new local low. But today it may rebound again. but will the downtrend continue?

For in-depth technical analysis of various stocks and a recap of today's Stock Trading Alert we encourage you to watch today's video.

The S&P 500 index lost 1.90% on Tuesday, Nov. 30. The market went lower following testimonies from the Fed Chair Powell and the Treasury Secretary Yellen. On Monday the broad stock market retraced more than a half of its Friday’s sell-off, but yesterday it fell to the new local low of 4,560.00. Today it is expected to open 1.0% higher again, so we will see more short-term volatility.

The nearest important support level is at 4,560-4,600. On the other hand, the resistance level is at 4,650, marked by the recent local lows. The S&P 500 retraced most of its early November advance, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

Nasdaq 100 Remains Relatively Stronger

Let’s take a look at the Nasdaq 100 chart. The technology index remained relatively stronger than the broad stock market yesterday, as it didn’t extend a short-term downtrend. It remained above its Friday’s local low and above the 16,000 mark, as we can see on the daily chart:

Apple Got Close to the Record High Again

Let’s take a look at biggest stock in the S&P 500 index: AAPL. Apple accelerated its uptrend a week ago and it reached the new record high of $165.70. However, it retraced almost all of its intraday advance that day. On Friday it got back to a support level of around $157. And yesterday it got back to the all-time high, as it closed slightly above the $165 price level.

Short Position Is Still Justified

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. The market broke below the 4,700 level and the month-long upward trend line recently.

It looked like a topping pattern following an advance from the early October lows. Therefore, we decided to open a speculative short position a week ago on Tuesday (4,678 price level). It remains in profit, as we can see on the chart (chart by courtesy of http://tradingview.com):

Conclusion

The S&P 500 index is expected to open 1.0% higher this morning following an overnight rebound from the yesterday’s new short-term low. We will likely see an intraday consolidation following a higher opening. And for now, it looks like a consolidation within a short-term downtrend.

Here’s the breakdown:

• The S&P 500 extended its short-term downtrend yesterday, but today it is expected to open higher again.
• A speculative short position is still justified from the risk/reward perspective.
• We are expecting a 5% correction.

As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers, well-informed.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion; levels for S&P 500 continuous futures contract): short positions with entry at 4,678 price level, with 4,820 as a stop-loss and 4,450 as a price target.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
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