Free Guest Analysis: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Stocks & Forex
Below you will find guest articles on investing and trading. Please note that the opinions included below don't represent the opinions of our company or any of its employees - they are only opinions of the respective authors. If you'd like to check out our premium analyses, please take a few seconds to sign up for our free 7-day trial today.
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Gold Moves Lower as Stocks Reach Their Key Resistance Level - What's Next?
January 21, 2011, 12:00 PMIn our previous free essay we’ve mentioned that mining stocks are at a particularly important crossroad, and whichever they decide to move is likely to determine the way for the underlying metals as well. In the following article we will put another factor into the equation – the general stock market.
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Mining Stocks Decline to Their 2008 Highs - Should You Sell?
January 18, 2011, 12:00 PMThe situation of mining stocks is tense because they are very close to their 2008 highs (XAU Index is slightly below the 2008 high and HUI is right at it), and this is the most important technical development that we see right now. Will we have a bigger decline or another huge rally from here? Which of the above outcomes is more probable?
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Precious Metals Enter a Higher Risk, Higher Return Potential Zone
January 11, 2011, 12:00 PMRecent declines in precious metals prices have been clearly seen from a short-term point of view. This may appear scary to some. Note, however, that if price declines are short lived, this means little to speculative long positions. Also, please keep in mind that in the past none of the major upswings ended in a consolidation pattern, which makes it less likely that the rally is completely over now.
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Gold - Bottom or Breakdown?
January 8, 2011, 12:00 PMWith the possibility of a hyperinflation scenario a sudden plunge in gold appears unlikely. Yet, some Investors and Traders believe that we just seen a breakdown in gold and that one should sell their gold immediately. Was that really the case this week?
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Consolidation in Precious Metals - Range-bound Gold:Silver Ratio
January 5, 2011, 12:00 PMThe Bull Run in gold is already showing signs of fatigue. After such a positive 2010, one might expect gold to consolidate somewhat through 2011 and gain at a slower pace. Investors should remain cautious and wait for appropriate signals before another leg of the bull run resumes. Silver too will remain subdued, but at these elevated levels with good support from industrial and investment demand. As both the legs of the ratio gain steadily, the gold:silver ratio will remain largely range-bound.
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Municipal Debt Threatens US Economy
January 4, 2011, 12:00 PMGold prices tend to rise it times of projected or actual inflation rises due to the bullion’s status as a "safe haven" asset. Investors who are seeking an asset that reacts favorably to currency devaluation and inflation typically move some of their wealth into gold. Right now, the Fed is more concerned about deflation rather than inflation. As such, they show little reluctance to flood the US economy with dollars.
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Gold Ends the Year in a Bullish Fashion - What's Next?
December 31, 2010, 12:00 PMAfter an epic size binge comes an epic size hangover and things are not that different in the economy. With the year ending in uncertain times, the one thing we can safely predict is that 2011 will be unpredictable. Let's hope for the best and at the same time be prepared for the worst by holding our physical gold and silver holdings intact.
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No Signs of a Gold Bubble Despite Record Advances in 2010
December 27, 2010, 12:00 PMAlthough some of the infamous bubble episodes happened years ago, the events are eerily similar to today’s bubbles and busts: low interest rates, easy credit terms, widespread public participation, bankrupt governments, price inflation, frantic attempts by government to keep the booms going and government bailouts of companies after the crash – gold is not plagued by any of these problems despite short-term bearish indications.
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Changes on the General Stock Market - Will Silver Decline?
December 21, 2010, 12:00 PMPerhaps the uncertainty of the financial stability of several European countries further compounded by normal holiday and year-end influences have thus far made December a difficult month to read. Still, the bias appears to be somewhat negative, even for silver.
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Obama Tax Cuts Will Push Investors Further to Gold
December 19, 2010, 12:00 PMThe inability of Obama’s administration to collect higher taxes will pose a long-term challenge to the American economy. Quantitative easing and lower tax collection is a recipe for sovereign default.
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Outlook for Precious Metals in 2011- Will the Rally Sustain?
December 17, 2010, 12:00 PMShort term indicators for precious metals may point to subdued gains, but long term fundamentals are intact. All the factors that have driven gold higher – fear, uncertainties, the Fed’s printing press, lack of confidence in the dollar, gold as the ultimate currency, buying by newly wealthy Chinese families, sovereign troubles in the euro zone, central bank purchases, high unemployment in the U.S. – are still in place and we don’t see any of those factors changing significantly in the coming year.
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Mining Stocks Finally Appear to Have Resumed Their Upward Trend
December 15, 2010, 12:00 PMIn our previous essay we've covered the situation on the gold market, however since rallies (and declines) often correspond to the rallies (and declines) in the mining stocks, this time we will focus on the latter and check if we can spot any divergences or confirmations.
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The Economy is Still on Shaky Foundation
December 14, 2010, 12:00 PMInvestors are struggling to deal with ballooning US Treasury yields which are supporting the dollar. The rise in yields acts as a stabilizer but there are inflation concerns. As Treasury rates rise, the dollar becomes more appealing to investors. This could damp the prices in dollar-denominated commodities such as silver and gold - will it, or will the precious metals manage to rise despite USD rally as they did in the past month?
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Gold's Gleam Will Not Fade Away Because of the Current Decline
December 10, 2010, 12:00 PMLast week the Chinese approved the country's first gold fund designed to invest in overseas listed gold ETFs. This year many Chinese investors added gold to their portfolio and at the Shanghai Gold Exchange, trading volume rose 43% to 5,014 tons in the first 10 months of 2010. This bullish fundamental factor has been reflected in one of the gold charts that we've prepared for you this week, which also supports the bullish case for the metals. However, will the rally take place right away?
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What to Look for in the Gold-Silver Ratio
December 8, 2010, 12:00 PMThe gold-silver ratio is perhaps one of the first indicators traders looked at to comprehend the state of the precious metals market and accordingly acquire positions. We attempt to revisit the gold silver ratio in a new light to arm our investors with the right view. The gold silver ratio is not outdated; the view needs to be refreshed. Over the course of this essay, we will establish the rules of mean reversion and understand how pairs and ratio work.
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