Gold moved higher, but it didn't rally visibly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level - has anything changed?

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Gold moved higher yesterday, but it doesn’t seem that it had a major impact on even the short-term outlook as even the short-term resistance line wasn’t broken. Consequently, the previous trends remain in place.

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The precious metals declined yesterday and mining stocks declined along with them. Friday’s “reversal” seems to have been just an unsustainable small general-stock-market-based rally – it was invalidated almost entirely. However, gold rallied sharply in today’s pre-market trading. What’s next?

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Last week was full of action – gold moved below $1,210 only to rally above $1,240 and then to slide back below $1,225. Fortunately, there are a few sings that can tell us which of these moves was the “true” direction in which metals and miners are likely to move in the following weeks.

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Earlier this week gold and silver declined, while miners held up relatively well and the opposite was the case yesterday – gold and silver moved higher, while miners declined. It all happened along with a decline in the USD Index – what can the metals-USD link tell us in this case?

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